Voice of America
15 Mar 2023, 23:36 GMT+10
Amman - Middle Eastern analysts are divided on the news of the surprise diplomatic rapprochement between Saudi Arabia and Iran brokered by China. Some view the development as potentially positive for Lebanon and perhaps Yemen, where Tehran exerts great influence, but other observers are cautious, with some speculating that Iran is simply trying to alleviate the current pressure it is facing.
Generally, Middle East analysts welcome the news of the resumption of diplomatic ties between volatile rivals Saudi Arabia and Iran in the hopes that it will lessen regional tensions and increase stability.
Saudi-Iran Breakthrough Adds New Twist to Israel's Arab Outreach
Maha Yahya, who directs the Carnegie Middle East Center in Beirut, says the deal's timing was opportune, especially for Iran, "given the collapsing economic situation there and mounting international pressure, especially after the failure to revive the nuclear deal and Iranian progress in enriching uranium. This was all the more significant in that the country has been facing months of domestic protests."
Lebanese analyst Dania Koleilat Khatib told VOA that both Iran and Saudi Arabia could gain from stability, if the deal takes hold. Khatib is the president of the Beirut-based Research Center for Cooperation and Peace Building.
"The Iranians to a certain extent will hold on to it because they don't have any other choice,' she said. 'They are under great pressure. There's pressure inside, there's pressure outside. There is no hope for the revival of the JCPOA (the Iran nuclear deal), so the best thing for them is to make peace with their neighbors. All the instability coming from Iran, Hezbollah, the Houthis, if there is an agreement with Iran and Iran follows through, it will decrease the instability in the region. This is something Saudi needs for the Vision 2030."
Vision 2030 is Saudi Arabia's ambitious economic reform plan aiming to reduce its dependence on oil production by diversifying into industry, logistics, tourism and other sectors.
Khatib says both Saudi Arabia and Iran may be willing to make concessions and agree to a compromise presidential candidate in Lebanon as a result of the deal. Yet others are less optimist.
Analysts say it could also speed up peace talks between Saudi Arabia and the Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen, who have claimed drone attacks on Saudi oil facilities.
But Dina Esfandiary of the International Crisis Group told the French news agency, AFP, that if it's just a Saudi-Houthi deal, there will be "an issue inside Yemen with the grievances of various other parties that aren't being addressed,' including the main separatist faction, the Southern Transitional Council.
Farhad Rezaei, a senior fellow at the Philos Project New York, is skeptical about Iranian hardliners truly wanting to normalize ties with Saudi Arabia, saying in a tweet that "once the pressure subsides, they will likely revert to their previous hostile stance given their religious and geopolitical conflicts." He points to previous failed attempts by the custodians of Sunni and Shiite Islam to reconcile.
Still, Faisal Abbas, who is the editor-in-chief of the Saudi Arab News, says "it would have been irresponsible for the Saudi leadership not to give peace a chance." But he also points out that it is "early days." "We cannot expect four decades of Iranian hostility and investment in undermining regional security to disappear overnight," he says.
Get a daily dose of International Travel News news through our daily email, its complimentary and keeps you fully up to date with world and business news as well.
Publish news of your business, community or sports group, personnel appointments, major event and more by submitting a news release to International Travel News.
More InformationNEW YORK, New York - U.S. stock markets closed firmly in positive territory to start the week Monday, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones...
WASHINGTON, D.C.: On Friday, President Donald Trump announced that he was halting trade discussions with Canada due to its decision...
LONDON, U.K.: A little-known investment fund based in the United Arab Emirates has emerged as the most prominent public backer of U.S....
SAN FRANCISCO, California: Across the U.S., a growing number of people are taking obesity treatment into their own hands — literally....
SAN FRANCISCO, California: Under pressure from European regulators, Apple has revamped its App Store policies in the EU, introducing...
NEW YORK CITY, New York: The U.S. dollar tumbled this week, hitting its lowest levels since 2021 against the euro, British pound, and...
NEW DELHI, India: India has decided not to allow a United Nations (UN) investigator to join the investigation into the recent Air India...
BANGKOK, Thailand: This week, Thailand implemented land border restrictions, including a ban on tourists traveling to Cambodia, as...
Chennai (Tamil Nadu) [India], June 30(ANI): The Union Minister of Ports, Shipping & Waterways (MoPSW), Sarbananda Sonowal inaugurated...
Varna has kicked off the 2025 summer season on a strong note, with a notable increase in tourist arrivals and overnight stays during...
HAIKOU, June 30 (Xinhua) -- In the processing workshop of Hainan Changshu Seedling Development Co., Ltd. in Chengmai County, south...
SEOUL, 30th June, 2025 (WAM) -- The Korea Tourism Organisation announced that the number of foreign tourists who visited the country...